{"id":664,"date":"2023-06-27T11:56:02","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T07:56:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/?page_id=664"},"modified":"2023-09-27T15:03:02","modified_gmt":"2023-09-27T11:03:02","slug":"664-2","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/italia-e-azerbaigian\/diplomazia-economica\/664-2\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Az\u0259rbaycan ke\u00e7mi\u015f SSR\u0130 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri aras\u0131nda \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k art\u0131m tempin\u0259 sahib olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n biridir.\u202f 2006-2008-ci ill\u0259r aras\u0131nda ikir\u0259q\u0259mli b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin\u0259 nail olan Az\u0259rbaycan, son ill\u0259rd\u0259 &#8220;\u00c7in&#8221; art\u0131m templ\u0259rin\u0259 (orta hesabla 20% v\u0259 maksimum\u202f 34%) \u00e7atm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r.Haz\u0131rda \u00f6lk\u0259nin\u202f as\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu neftin qiym\u0259tinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 v\u0259 milli valyuta olan manat\u0131n devalvasiyas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bil\u0259\u202f 2015-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulan 1.9% art\u0131m g\u00f6st\u0259ricisinin azalaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal olunur.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2015-ci ild\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259\u202f \u00dcDM-un h\u0259cmi\u202f 1,9% artaraq 64 milyard avroya, adamba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u0259n \u00dcDM d\u0259y\u0259ri is\u0259 6435 avroya \u00e7atm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. Qeyri-neft sektorunda 8,3% art\u0131m, neft v\u0259 qaz sektorunda azalma m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmu\u015fdur. 2016-c\u0131 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn art\u0131m ehtimal\u0131\u202f 2.7%-dir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>2015-2017-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 iki<\/strong> illik d\u00f6vrd\u0259 inflyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259dric\u0259n azalma g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir ki, n\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 bu 2015-ci ild\u0259 5,5% -d\u0259n 2016-c\u0131 ild\u0259 5% -\u0259, 2017-ci ild\u0259 is\u0259 3% -\u0259 en\u0259c\u0259k. Son bir ild\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcu 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259 11,2%-d\u0259n 2015-ci ild\u0259 14,4%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r artm\u0131\u015f, lakin 2016-c\u0131 ild\u0259 12,4 %, 2017-ci ild\u0259 11,5 %-\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Fitch Agentliyi\u202f 2013-c\u00fc ild\u0259 neft sektorunda ba\u015flayan b\u00f6hran tendensiyas\u0131n\u0131 2015-2017 ill\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 ke\u00e7\u0259rli oldu\u011funu t\u0259sdiql\u0259di. Buna baxmayaraq, iqtisadi perspektiv 2016-2017-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 qeyri-neft sektorunda\u202f ild\u0259 4-5% art\u0131m il\u0259 tarazla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, qeyri-neft sektorundak\u0131 art\u0131m vergi g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaq v\u0259 Fitch Agentliyinin proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, \u00dcDM 15%-\u0259 \u00e7atacaq.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Milli Statistika Komit\u0259sinin xarici ticar\u0259tl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259li m\u0259lumatlar\u0131, 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259 m\u00fcbadil\u0259 h\u0259cmini 34,7 milyard avro, m\u00fcsb\u0259t ticar\u0259t saldosunu 17,3 milyard avro oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Ticar\u0259t \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rinin 85% -i qeyri MDB \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259, t\u0259xmin\u0259n 10% -i MDB \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 ba\u015f tutub.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0130nvestisiya ed\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda birinci yerd\u0259 \u0130ngilt\u0259r\u0259 (1.12 milyard avro, \u00fcmumi xarici investisiyan\u0131n 44% -n\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259rdir), ard\u0131nca AB\u015e (360 milyon avro, \u00fcmumi xarici investisiyan\u0131n 14.4% -\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259rdir), Yaponiya (222 milyon avro, \u00fcmumi xarici investisiyalar\u0131n% 9-una b\u0259rab\u0259rdir), Norve\u00e7 (\u00fcmumi xarici investisiyalar\u0131n 5%-i), \u00c7exiya (4% ), T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 ( 4%), Fransa 1.8(% ), Koreya (1.1% ) q\u0259rarla\u015f\u0131r. \u0130taliya 360 min avro v\u0259\u202f \u00fcmumi xarici investisiyada 0.1%-d\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rici il\u0259\u202f 9-cu yerd\u0259dir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SACE \u00f6lk\u0259ni<strong> be\u015finci risk kateqoriyas\u0131na aid edir<\/strong> (2016). Reytinq \u015firk\u0259ti Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, \u00f6lk\u0259nin reytinqini sabitd\u0259n m\u0259nfi s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 endirib, q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli v\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcu reytinqini BBQ- \/ A-3 kimi\u202f t\u0259sdiq ed\u0259r\u0259k, \u00f6lk\u0259nin perspektivini yenid\u0259n n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n ke\u00e7irdi. Reytinq \u015firk\u0259tinin bu q\u0259rar\u0131, xam neft sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan \u0259ld\u0259 olunan g\u0259lirl\u0259rin azalmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259t x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin azalmas\u0131ndan v\u0259 ya d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcunun artmas\u0131ndan \u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131na a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin t\u0259sirl\u0259ri il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirilir. \u015eirk\u0259tin ehtimal\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259,\u202f 2015-ci ild\u0259 neftin bir barelinin qiym\u0259ti 55 dollardan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olacaq, 2016-2018-ci ill\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 75 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u0259rpa olunacaq v\u0259 bununla da cari ild\u0259 v\u0259 yax\u0131n iki ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131m\u0131nda geril\u0259m\u0259, ticar\u0259t balans\u0131 v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 azalma\u202f m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunacaq.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">EIU 2014-18-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n orta illik nisb\u0259td\u0259 2,5% art\u0131mla davam ed\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Neft hasilat\u0131ndak\u0131 azalma \u0259slind\u0259, \u015eahd\u0259niz II yata\u011f\u0131na istinad ed\u0259r\u0259k enerji sektoruna y\u00fcks\u0259k investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131 il\u0259 kompensasiya edil\u0259c\u0259kdir. \u0130nflyasiya 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u0259n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 artaraq, 2014-18-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 ortalama 5.8% t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2014-18-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 valyuta nominal olaraq AB\u015e dollar\u0131na nisb\u0259td\u0259 sabit qalacaq, ixracat g\u0259lirl\u0259ri v\u0259 xarici kapital ax\u0131n\u0131 say\u0259sind\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BVF-a g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n son on ild\u0259 s\u00fcr\u0259tli art\u0131m m\u00fch\u0259rriki olan neft hasilat\u0131 \u0259sas\u0259n 2014-18-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259\u202f d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259z qalacaq v\u0259 daha sonra \u00fcmumi istehsal\u0131n 80% -ni t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259n Az\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli (A\u00c7G) yata\u011f\u0131nda azalma m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunacaq.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Az\u0259rbaycan ke\u00e7mi\u015f SSR\u0130 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri aras\u0131nda \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k art\u0131m tempin\u0259 sahib olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n biridir.\u202f 2006-2008-ci ill\u0259r aras\u0131nda ikir\u0259q\u0259mli b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin\u0259 nail olan Az\u0259rbaycan, son ill\u0259rd\u0259 &#8220;\u00c7in&#8221; art\u0131m templ\u0259rin\u0259 (orta hesabla 20% v\u0259 maksimum\u202f 34%) \u00e7atm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r.Haz\u0131rda \u00f6lk\u0259nin\u202f as\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu neftin qiym\u0259tinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 v\u0259 milli valyuta olan manat\u0131n devalvasiyas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bil\u0259\u202f 2015-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulan 1.9% art\u0131m [&hellip;]","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":174,"menu_order":1,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-664","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/664\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":666,"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/664\/revisions\/666"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/174"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambbaku.esteri.it\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}